If you've searched for "Divergence of Mas forex," you're on the right track, but this term isn't standard in trading. The term is likely a common typo for something else. Most often, traders mean "Divergence of MACD," which refers to the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator. Sometimes, it could mean divergence related to a simple "MA" or Moving Average.
This guide will cover both possibilities in detail. We will explain the concept of divergence and give you a clear framework to trade it well.
This guide gives you all the tools for understanding and using divergence in your forex trading.
At its heart, divergence is a conflict. It happens when price action does one thing but a technical indicator shows something else.
Think of it like a car going faster but its engine power dropping. This difference between speed and power suggests the car will soon slow down.
The same idea works in financial markets. When price makes a new high but the momentum is weaker than before, it shows the trend might be getting tired.
Most technical indicators lag behind price. They confirm what already happened, like when moving averages cross.
Divergence is different because it leads price. It gives you a hint about a possible change in direction before it happens.
This gives smart traders an edge. But remember, divergence just signals weakening momentum, not a sure reversal. It's a warning sign, not a perfect predictor.
The MACD is the most common tool for finding divergence. It has the MACD line, a signal line, and a histogram.
Most platforms use standard MACD settings of (12, 26, 9). These numbers represent the periods for two moving averages and the signal line. They are trusted by most traders and give a good basis for analysis.
To find divergence, we compare the peaks and valleys of price with the peaks and valleys of the MACD, often looking at the histogram for clarity.
Bearish divergence happens when price makes higher highs, but MACD makes lower highs. This shows buying pressure is getting weaker.
Bullish divergence happens when price makes lower lows, but MACD makes higher lows. This shows selling pressure is getting weaker.
You can also spot divergence with a simple Moving Average. This method is less common but works well for traders who like clean charts.
Here, we look at how price relates to the MA. For example, in an uptrend, price makes a new high far from the MA. If the next high barely moves up and is much closer to the MA, this might show weakening momentum.
This indicates the trend is slowing down, even as price inches higher. It's a subtle but powerful form of divergence.
Regular divergence is well-known and signals a possible trend reversal. It warns that the current trend is losing strength.
Bullish regular divergence occurs when price makes a lower low, but the indicator shows a higher low. This suggests the downtrend might be ending.
Bearish regular divergence occurs when price makes a higher high, but the indicator shows a lower high. This suggests the uptrend might be running out of steam.
Hidden divergence is more advanced and signals a possible trend continuation. It often appears during pullbacks in an established trend.
Hidden bullish divergence happens when price makes a higher low (showing an uptrend), but the indicator makes a lower low. This suggests the pullback is over and the uptrend will likely continue.
Hidden bearish divergence happens when price makes a lower high (showing a downtrend), but the indicator makes a higher high. This suggests the rally is temporary and the downtrend will likely continue.
Divergence Type | Price Action | Indicator Action | What it Signals |
---|---|---|---|
Regular Bullish | Lower Low | Higher Low | Potential Trend Reversal Up |
Regular Bearish | Higher High | Lower High | Potential Trend Reversal Down |
Hidden Bullish | Higher Low | Lower Low | Potential Trend Continuation Up |
Hidden Bearish | Lower High | Higher High | Potential Trend Continuation Down |
First, just observe. Look at your charts for a clear divergence signal between price and your chosen indicator, like MACD.
The most reliable signals form on higher timeframes, such as 4-hour or daily charts. These signals matter more than those on a 5-minute chart because they show bigger shifts in market mood.
This step is crucial and separates beginners from pros. A divergence signal alone is not enough to enter a trade.
You must wait for price to confirm the signal. Confirmation can come in several ways.
Look for a break of a key trendline. A strong candlestick pattern, like a large engulfing bar or pin bar, is another good sign. A break of the recent swing high or low also confirms the shift in momentum.
Once you have confirmation, you can plan your trade. Enter after the confirmation signal, not before.
For example, if a bullish engulfing candle confirms a bullish divergence, you could enter just above that candle's high.
Your stop-loss must be placed logically. For a bearish divergence trade, put the stop-loss just above the highest price of the divergence pattern. For a bullish divergence, put it just below the lowest price.
Every trade needs an exit plan. Decide on your profit targets before entering the trade.
A common method is to target a major support or resistance level. Another good approach is to use a fixed risk-to-reward ratio.
If your stop-loss is 50 pips away, you might set your first target at 100 pips (a 1:2 ratio) and a second target at 150 pips (a 1:3 ratio).
The best trade setups happen when multiple technical signals align to tell the same story. Divergence trading becomes much more reliable when combined with other tools.
Imagine seeing a bearish divergence on the 4-hour chart. If that signal forms right at a major resistance level on the daily chart, it becomes much more important.
If price then confirms this setup with a strong bearish engulfing candle, you now have three reasons to believe the market will turn lower. This is a high-probability setup.
Let's look at a trade we recently analyzed on the EUR/USD 4-hour chart. The pair was clearly trending down, but signs of seller exhaustion were starting to appear.
First, we spotted the potential signal. Price moved down to make a new lower low near 1.0520. However, the MACD histogram showed a trough that was higher than the previous one. This was a classic bullish divergence.
Next, we waited patiently for confirmation. The divergence alone wasn't enough. Price then formed a bullish pin bar, rejecting the lows, and broke above a small descending trendline connecting the last few swing highs. This trendline break was our confirmation.
Finally, we made our trade plan. We entered on the close of the candle that broke the trendline, around 1.0570. We set the stop-loss just below the low of the pin bar, at 1.0510, risking 60 pips. Our first profit target was at a previous support level that would likely act as resistance, around 1.0690. This gave us a 120-pip reward, a clean 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio.
The biggest mistake traders make is acting on a divergence signal without further confirmation. They see the indicator diverge from price and jump into a trade.
Remember, divergence warns of weakening momentum. It sets up a trade but doesn't tell you when to enter. Always wait for price action to confirm what the indicator suggests.
Context matters in trading. Fighting a strong, long-term trend rarely works well.
Trying to trade a bullish (reversal) divergence in a market that has been falling strongly for months is very risky. In these cases, the trend often overpowers the signal.
Often, trading hidden (continuation) divergence in the direction of the main trend offers better chances of success.
From experience, the best divergence signals are clean and obvious. They should jump off the chart at you.
If you have to squint, draw many lines, and wonder if a divergence is really there, it's probably not a high-quality signal worth your money. Patience is key for traders; wait for the best setups.
No trading strategy works every time. Divergence signals can fail. The market can find new strength and continue its trend, making the signal invalid.
For this reason, using a properly placed stop-loss on every trade is essential. It protects your capital and forms the basis of good risk management.
To use this strategy effectively, check these points before placing a trade:
Mastering divergence trading takes practice, screen time, and patience. It's not a get-rich-quick scheme but a professional technique that can greatly improve your market analysis.
We strongly encourage you to open a demo account and start practicing. Learn to identify the four types of divergence, wait for confirmation, and manage your trades without risking real money. This practice builds the confidence needed to trade divergence successfully.