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FX Settlement Risk Still Reaches $1.4 Trillion

Conclusion: The institutional FX market still leaves $1.4 trillion of daily obligations fully exposed to settlement risk. The hook for a 'forex bank' reader is that a completed trade is not completed cash movement.

The BIS 2025 Triennial Survey measured more than $14 trillion in average daily gross settlement obligations during April 2025.

Where the risk remains

Method Daily amount Principal-risk effect
Payment versus payment $5.2tn Eliminates
Netting/intragroup/controls $7.6tn Mitigates
Gross bilateral $1.4tn Fully exposed

Why banks care

Payment-versus-payment coordinates both currency legs. The BIS says access, currency eligibility and trade-type eligibility help explain why some transactions remain outside it. Turnover measures trading; settlement data measure delivery.

YouTube cross-check

This 2026 broker-regulation explainer focuses on retail selection. It does not address wholesale settlement mechanics, so BIS data remain the authority.

Sources

Published June 2026. No social claim was used for the settlement figures.