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Gold Forex Rally Pauses Before PCE and Warsh

Conclusion: The gold-forex rally has paused, not disappeared. Spot gold eased to about $4,624.87 per ounce at 08:08 GMT on August 25 after reaching a more-than-three-month high, as profit-taking and a firmer dollar arrived before U.S. PCE and the Fed Chair's Jackson Hole remarks.

Verified market snapshot

Reuters reported that gold slipped 0.6% in Tuesday trading, while December U.S. futures fell 0.4% to $4,681.50. The prior session's rally had been supported by a weaker dollar, Treasury-market concerns and technical buying.

Driver Gold-positive outcome Gold-negative outcome
U.S. dollar Renewed weakness Sustained rebound
Real yields Stabilise or fall Rise sharply
PCE inflation Eases policy pressure Revives tighter-policy risk
Jackson Hole Reassures on inflation control Lifts real-rate expectations

What XAU/USD traders should separate

✓ A USD move changes the metal's price for non-dollar buyers.

✓ Real yields affect the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset.

⚠ A technical target is not a verified future price. The reaction must be observed after the data and speech.

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This August 25 XAU/USD briefing maps current technical levels. It is included only as a fresh chart interpretation; prices and event facts are sourced from Reuters and BEA.

Sources

Research note: X and Google News were screened; price forecasts from social posts were excluded. This is analysis, not personalised investment advice.